Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.231251 0.266037 0.303422 0.346488 0.394621 0.446655 0.507051
2026-02-08 0.173787 0.220345 0.274454 0.341550 0.422048 0.515028 0.630027
2026-02-15 0.132238 0.184153 0.249143 0.335420 0.445763 0.580881 0.757408
2026-02-22 0.106254 0.161669 0.236003 0.340989 0.483097 0.666169 0.916795
2026-03-01 0.083584 0.138816 0.218063 0.336786 0.506224 0.734884 1.061381
2026-03-08 0.067499 0.121909 0.205098 0.336707 0.533763 0.810929 1.221588
2026-03-15 0.053878 0.105790 0.190267 0.331111 0.551770 0.874316 1.368712
2026-03-22 0.046771 0.098868 0.188380 0.344461 0.598494 0.981873 1.586102
2026-03-29 0.040859 0.092741 0.186609 0.357299 0.645052 1.092148 1.814722
2026-04-05 0.034493 0.084298 0.179316 0.359572 0.674276 1.177456 2.010834
2026-04-12 0.028889 0.076063 0.170927 0.358503 0.697232 1.253830 2.197276
2026-04-19 0.024219 0.068680 0.162846 0.356653 0.718111 1.327598 2.383358
2026-04-26 0.020265 0.062043 0.155310 0.355132 0.739881 1.405250 2.582343
2026-05-03 0.016928 0.056013 0.147986 0.352979 0.760111 1.481524 2.783698
2026-05-10 0.014002 0.050202 0.140077 0.348483 0.775284 1.549795 2.975433
2026-05-17 0.012239 0.047105 0.137805 0.355397 0.812766 1.659561 3.243946
2026-05-24 0.010194 0.042521 0.131116 0.351773 0.828933 1.731729 3.450806
2026-05-31 0.008666 0.039049 0.126528 0.352152 0.852993 1.819565 3.689682
2026-06-07 0.007153 0.035067 0.119813 0.346626 0.864102 1.883563 3.888769
2026-06-14 0.006541 0.034140 0.121245 0.360691 0.917823 2.031601 4.247996
2026-06-21 0.005970 0.033175 0.122394 0.374160 0.971234 2.181856 4.618094
2026-06-28 0.005159 0.030917 0.119328 0.376601 1.000432 2.286164 4.907129
2026-07-05 0.004381 0.028454 0.115132 0.375538 1.021535 2.375373 5.171557